Projection of Paddy Production in Kedah Malaysia: A Case Study

Main Article Content

Zahayu Md Yusof
Masnita Misiran
Nur Fatiha Baharin
Mohammad Fahmi Yaacob
Nur Athirah Binti Abdul Aziz
Nur Hanani Binti Sanan

Abstract

Rice is a staple food for Malaysian. Malaysian paddy farmers contributed up to 70% of the country’s needs. However, climate change impact to the agriculture activities. The aim of this study is to forecast the paddy production for four years in Kedah, Malaysia. Naïve forecasting method was used in this study. The forecasted results for the paddy production values from 2013 to 2016 are considered in this study. The finding shows that the decrease of paddy production in the year of 2013 but the paddy production increased from year 2014 until 2016. Overall, this research work forecasted gradual increments for the projection of four years rice’s production in Kedah.

Keywords:
Paddy, forecasting, rice production, Malaysia

Article Details

How to Cite
Yusof, Z. M., Misiran, M., Baharin, N. F., Yaacob, M. F., Aziz, N. A. B. A., & Sanan, N. H. B. (2019). Projection of Paddy Production in Kedah Malaysia: A Case Study. Asian Journal of Advances in Agricultural Research, 10(3), 1-6. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajaar/2019/v10i330030
Section
Original Research Article

References

Mohd Ariff M. Hybrid rice an effort to reduce imports. BERNAMA Media. Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, Japan (2008). Designing measures to global warming in rural development (Report of special task force); 2012.

Fahmi Z, Samah BA, Abdullah H. Paddy industry and paddy farmers well-being: A success recipe for agriculture industry in Malaysia. Asian Social Science. 2013;9(3): 177.

Latham AJH. Rice: The primary commodity. Routledge; 2013.

Rajamoorthy Y, Munusamy S. Rice industry in Malaysia: Challenges, policies and implications. Procedia Economics and Finance. 2015;31:861-867.

Tey YS. Malaysia’s strategic food security approach. International Food Research Journal. 2010;17(3):501-507.

Arshad FM, Alias EF, Noh KM, Tasrif M. Food security: Self-sufficiency of rice in Malaysia. International Journal of Manage-ment Studies. 2011;18(2):83-100.

Bala BK, Alias EF, Arshad FM, Noh KM, Hadi AHA. Modelling of food security in Malaysia. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory. 2014;47:152-164.

Siwar C, Alam MM, Murad MW, Al-Amin AQ. A review of the linkages between climate change, agricultural sustainability and poverty in Malaysia. International Review of Business Research Papers. 2009;5:309-321.

Ahmad NNN, Hossain DM. Climate change and global warming discourses and disclosures in the corporate annual reports: A study on the Malaysian companies. Procedia-social and behavioral sciences. 2015;172:246-253.

Vaghefi N, Shamsudin MN, Radam A, Rahim KA. Impact of climate change on food security in Malaysia: Economic and policy adjustments for rice industry. Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences. 2016;13(1):19-35.

Alam M, Siwar C, Murad M, Toriman M. Impacts of climate change on agriculture and food security issues in Malaysia: An empirical study on farm level assessment; 2017. Available:https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2941495

Alam MM, Siwar C, Molla RI, bin Toriman ME. Climate change and vulnerability of paddy cultivation in North-West Selangor, Malaysia: A survey of farmers’ assessment; 2019.
Available:https://read.un-ilibrary.org/economic-and-social-development/the-relationships-between-the-socio-economic-profile-of-farmers-and-paddy-productivity-in-north-west-selangor-malaysia_0d668276-en#page1

Caruso R, Petrarca I, Ricciuti R. Climate change, rice crops, and violence: Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Peace Research. 2016;53(1):66-83.

Deb P, Tran DA, Udmale PD. Assessment of the impacts of climate change and brackish irrigation water on rice productivity and evaluation of adaptation measures in Ca Mau province, Vietnam. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 2016; 125(3-4):641-656.

Shrestha S, Chapagain R, Babel MS. Quantifying the impact of climate change on crop yield and water footprint of rice in the Nam Oon Irrigation Project, Thailand. Science of the Total Environment. 2017; 599:689-699.

Alam MM, Siwar C, Talib B, Jaafar AH. Climatic change and the socioeconomic sustainability of the paddy farmers in Malaysia. Natural Science. 2013;5(1A): 163-166.

Shanmuganathan S. Climate change effects on Sri Lankan paddy yield: An initial investigation using data mining algorithms. 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation; 2014.
Available:www.geoinformatics.org/.../Climate%20change%20effects_shanmugana.

Yoshida S. Fundamentals of rice crop science Philippines: The International Rice Research Institute; 1981.